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Weekend Pick$ – 10/15/22 Weekend

Weekend Picks, where I give you my favorite picks for the weekend of football that is upon us. Now, I am by no means a gambling expert, and don’t claim to be, but these are the best bets of the weekend in my opinion. Some picks will be a mix of NFL and College games, play at your own risk!

We do not condone gambling, these are simply my non-expert picks should you be interested in gambling in a state where sports betting is legal. Have a gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler

Happy Friday,

4-1 on the week last week, not bad…not bad at all. 12-9 on the season, let’s keep it rolling.

Week 1: (5-1)
Week 2: (0-5)
Week 3: (3-2)
Week 4: (4-1)

Total: (12-9)

* If Bryce Young Plays – Alabama (-7.5), If he does not – Tennessee (ML)

THIS IS A GAME TIME DECISION PLAY. I think that the Crimson Tide are clearly a different team without Bryce Young at the helm. The Heisman Trophy winner has missed the last game and part of the previous game with a shoulder injury, and the 2nd-stringer has won them both games, but it is clear that he is no Bryce Young. The Vols will be able to string together some plays to beat the Bama defense, however if Bryce Young is playing, I am not sure their defense will be able to stop them like they will with Jalen Milroe behind center.
If Bryce is playing, take Bama and the points. If he is not, Tennessee wins the game outright. You can take them +7.5, but I would take the value in the moneyline play.

*Line Update: Line closed at -9.5 Bama, which is too high. Tennessee ML if you’re really frisky, but +9.5 is better option

LSU Tigers (ML) at Florida Gators

It’s always tough going into The Swamp and playing, regardless if Florida is good or not. The LSU Tigers started out the season on the wrong note, with a loss to Florida State after their kicker missed the game winner, and are now coming off a big loss to Tennessee (who could beat a top 3 team in the nation this week), and are not about to have a 3rd loss to SEC rival Florida. Like I said, going into The Swamp is never an easy task, but I do think that the Tigers have what it takes to get the job done about a less productive than usual Florida squad.

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Miami Dolphins

The Vikings are a good team overall, and the Dolphins are a better team… however, they are a significantly worse team when they are starting their 7th-round, rookie, 3rd-string quarterback. I shouldn’t have to say much more than that. Also on top of missing Tua and Teddy, the Dolphins could be without Tyreek (at the time of this article). The Dolphins believe he will play, however without him and a 3rd-string QB, the Vikings should easily route the Fish.
This feels like our weekly Trap Line, but here I am…again… playing it.

Trevor Lawrence o1.5 td passes

This is the second time this year already that the Jags will play the Colts. In week 2, they beat them 24-0, and Trevow Lawrence threw for 2 TD’s in the shut out. While the Colts are a different team now, with significant players returning from injury on defense, Trevor Lawrence (-120) to throw o1.5 TD’s seems like a lock, considering he is averaging over 1.5 per game this season. The Jags handled the Colts easily week 2, and I don’t know if they will necessarily walk all over them again this week, but I do think Trevor continues play well enough to keep the Jags in games.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Over 54

Number 1 and Number 2 MVP odds QB’s going head to head? This has the makings of a shootout if I’ve ever seen one. Granted, both team’s defenses have been better than previously, but if last years AFC Championship is any indication of how this game will go, it’s going to be fun.
We are cheering for scores, and lots of it. If this game was later in the season, it would have been flexed into Prime Time and it is a damn shame that it isn’t.

Again, I am not an expert and these are just my suggestions and bets I like this week in football. Play at your own risk, and as always – gamble responsibly!

Till Next Time,
Trevor