Weekend Picks, where I give you my favorite picks for the weekend of football that is upon us. Now, I am by no means a gambling expert, and don’t claim to be, but these are the best bets of the weekend in my opinion. Some picks will be a mix of NFL and College games, play at your own risk!
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Happy Friday,
ROUGH, ROUGH, ROUGH week for weekend picks last weekend. After a 5-1 Week 1, we followed it up with a 0-5 Week 2. Was it cockiness? Arrogance? Lack of Studying? Maybe a little of everything, but now we are sitting at 5-6 on the season, and looking for a bounceback week. As I’ve stated, I don’t pretend to know what I’m doing (that’s apparent after last weeks picks), but I am just going with what I feel is logical based off team and player performance. So, back the picks if you would like but do so at you’re own risk!
Washington Huskies -2.5
Last week, USC -6 and Chiefs -5.5 were both lines that seemed too good to be true…and while neither hit, we continue the too good to be true picks here. The 4-0 Huskies head south to the Rose Bowl to take on the also 4-0 UCLA Bruins. The Bruins have struggled during the tenure of Chip Kelly, and shockingly are off to an undefeated start. However, beating Bowling Green, Alabama State, South Alabama (by your 1 point), and Colorado are nothing to be proud.
Washington comes into the game behind the lead of Michael Penix Jr., who is the currently the NCAA leading passer with 1,388 yards and 12 TD’s to 1 INT. The UCLA defense is going to be pressed to step up this week after facing 2 QB’s who combined do not have as many passing yards as Penix does this season. The Huskies come in and handle the Bruins with ease.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6.5
The Demon Decons are coming off a heart breaking loss to the Clemson Tigers in double OT last week. Florida State has had 2 games against respectable opponents (LSU and Louisville, granted Louisvilles 1-2 record tells a different story), and have only beat them by combined 5 points. The Seminoles just cracked the top 25 this week, while the Sam Hartman led Deacons are fighting to stay within the top 25.
Last season Hartman lead Wake Forest to a 35-14 victory over the Seminoles, and while the teams are different this year, I don’t see much of a difference in score. If you’re feeling really frisky, Wake Forest moneyline is +200 or more in all major sportsbooks.
Detroit Lions -4
The Seahawks are in full tank mode, it’s all I can determine from the fact they are willingly running out Geno Smith as their starting QB. The Lions on the other hand are looking like a team who has finally put it together under Dan Campbell, and clicking on both sides of the ball. Jeff Okudah is playing like a top notch CB on the defensive side of the ball, and the backfield of Williams and Swift is a perfect compliment to one another and helps Jared Goffs passing game. The Seahawks are coming off back to back loses to the 49ers and Falcons, and the Lions are coming off a loss to the Vikings in which they let the game go late.
DK Metcalf has come out and said he is not impressed with Okudah’s play, which means we’ve got some bulliten board material.
Arizona Cardinals +1.5
I’m honestly not sure how this line is this way. The Carolina Panthers are potentially without Christian McCaffrey who has missed 2 days of practice this week, and the Arizona Cardinals are the team everyone was incredibly high on coming into the season. Kyler Murray hasn’t played to the best of his ability yet this year, but going against what has been a lackluster Carolina defense who has given up 360 yards per game this season. On the other side of the field though, the Cardinals defense is giving up just shy of 400 yards a game, however Baker Mayfield doesn’t seem to want to take advantage of his skill set and continues to be mediocre at best. The Cardinals are the better team here, and I’d be shocked if they don’t come out on top.
Aaron Rodgers O1.5 passing td’s
Aaron “Back-to-Back MVP” Rodgers isn’t off to his standard start this year. Through 3 games, the future Hall of Famer has 4 TD’s to 2 INT’s, and a 21st in the league 684 passing yards. While the Patriots are notorious for having tough defenses, and this year is no difference, Rodgers is starting to put it together and get on the same page as his receiving core. Throwing for more yards each game this season, and 2-TD’s in last two games after 0 in week one, I can’t see Rodgers not continuing to improve this week. The line is currently -155 in all major sportsbooks for Rodgers o1.5 TD passes, and I’d play it if I was you.
Again, I am not an expert and these are just my suggestions and bets I like this week in football. Play at your own risk, and as always – gamble responsibly!
Till Next Time,
Trevor
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